Ponca City, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

930
FXUS64 KOUN 141747
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1247 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1224 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

- Much cooler temperatures expected next couple of days.

- Next chance of widespread rainfall comes late in the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Sunday)
Issued at 136 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Cold front will continue to move south across the area this morning
and is expected to move south of the Red River by early afternoon.
Showers and thunderstorms will accompany the front and a few strong
to perhaps severe storms may occur across the far south before the
front slides south of the area. There will be some lingering
activity to the north of the front as a minor shortwave continues to
push southeast across the area along with some elevated moisture and
residual elevated instability.

Otherwise, a much cooler airmass will overspread the area in the
wake of the front with highs mainly in the 70s with a few lower 80s
near the Red River.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 136 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Northwest flow aloft will develop Monday. Meanwhile, cooler surface
ridge will settle south over the Ozarks region. Along with quite a
bit of cloud cover remaining over the area another well below normal
day temperature-wise is expected with highs in the 70s and low 80s.
There will also be a low chance of some lingering showers across
southern Oklahoma and north Texas.

Northwest flow will persist Tuesday with south to southwest winds
returning as surface ridge shifts east. Warmer air in the low levels
will begin to return to the southern Plains and temperatures will
respond with highs returning into the upper 80s and lower 90s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 136 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

South winds return in earnest Wednesday as pressure falls occur
across the High Plains tightening the pressure gradient across the
Plains as large upper trough moves southeast out of the northern
Rockies into the northern Plains and upper midwest. Associated
surface front will drop south and is expected to move south across
the area Thursday and Thursday night with our next chance of more
widespread rainfall. Another slight cool down is then expected for
Friday with a gradual warming trend into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Expecting MVFR ceilings to scatter and/or broken ceilings
lifting at least to a VFR category by 21Z through the rest of the
forecast period at terminals KOKC, KOUN, KLAW, KCSM, and KSPS.
Terminal KDUA in southeast Oklahoma will likely reduce to an MVFR
category through most of the forecast although their ceiling may
scatter for brief periods between 18-22Z. Our three remaining
terminals (KPNC, KSWO, and KWWR) should persist in a VFR category
through the entire forecast period. There is a 30% probability
for light rain and/or a thunderstorm at terminal KDUA between
06-12Z. Surface winds will stay out of the north at 10 kts gusting
to 15 kts through 01Z then veering northeast at 5-10 kts through
the rest of the forecast period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  75  61  79  62 /  30  20   0   0
Hobart OK         77  61  81  61 /  50  10  10  10
Wichita Falls TX  84  64  83  63 /  50  20  10   0
Gage OK           75  57  80  59 /  20  20   0  10
Ponca City OK     76  59  79  61 /  20  10   0   0
Durant OK         84  67  80  65 /  90  50  20   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...30
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...68